Live since 2 September 2026 · last bar 2026-11-04 · 490 stamps confirmed in Bitcoin · rebuilt daily once the bar is complete

The public record of a private trading system.

We do not ask you to trust our numbers. We publish the method, register every test before it runs, print the failures next to the passes, and anchor each document in the Bitcoin chain so the dates cannot be argued with.

Today's report · 5 November 2026
Live book ÷ hold-BTC1.004
Best shadow book1.039
Trials this week6831
Verdicts this week1
Max drawdown vs BTC0.04 %
Every figure above is computed from the ledgers by the nightly build, not typed.
1.004×
live book against holding Bitcoin, since 2 September 2026
34,160
hypotheses tested, all pre-registered
17
shadow books replayed nightly from go-live
490
hashes confirmed in Bitcoin

Live book against holding Bitcoin

all shadow books
0.850.900.951.001.051.101.151.000 = holding Bitcoin1 Sep8 Sep15 Sep22 Sep29 Sep6 Oct13 Oct20 Oct27 Oct4 Novconstant_mix_70_30hashdex_momentumliq_reversalichimoku_switchgex_regimelive book
live book1.000 hold-BTCconstant_mix_70_30hashdex_momentumliq_reversalichimoku_switchgex_regime

Latest verdicts

K04552026-10-29PASSbatch 59 verdict: crisis flash mode NONE (no setting passes)
K04442026-10-26verdictS134 step 0 result: B0145 armed hedge short; replay cover_mult = 1.0 size + daily resize; at 0.9 the stable setting's holdout is negative
K04032026-10-17FAILb55 verdict doc: B0057 failed-entry release NO EFFECT
K04022026-10-17verdictb55 verdict computation: NO EFFECT (1/3 cells)

99 verdicts on the ledger since go-live. Most say no. The full ledger.

How a claim gets onto this site

1. Register

The hypothesis, the prediction and the pass/fail rule are written down and hashed before any result is looked at.

2. Test

The idea is replayed through the real engine on history it has never seen, fees and all.

3. Verdict

Pass or fail, published either way, with the mechanism named. Most fail.

4. Stamp

The hash is committed to Bitcoin through OpenTimestamps. Anyone can check the date without trusting us.

documentbatch, verdict, snapshotSHA-256fingerprint of the textOpenTimestampsfree public calendarsBitcoin blockanyone can verify the date

What stays private: the rules, the sizing, the universe and the live positions. What is public: how we know, and where we were wrong.

The names

善狐 Zenko

The benevolent fox of Japanese folklore, the one that keeps its word. The name of this publication.

狐火 Kitsunebi

Foxfire: the lights the foxes are said to carry at night. Foxfire is the light in the dark you learn not to trust, which is why our proof ledger carries the name. A hash in Bitcoin is a light you can trust; the ledger exists so you never have to take our word for it.