Scoreboard

Generated 2026-11-05 08:20 UTC. multiples of holding Bitcoin; counts; dates. Hold-BTC is always 1.000.

Live book

1.004
× hold-BTC since 2026-09-02 20:55:00+00
0.877
of high-water mark
65
days live
1.000
worst multiple since live

BTC book only (Kraken). Capital is never shown. The on-chain pot is a separate USDC ledger. Half-size at 15 % drawdown, halt at 25 %; not halted. Tokenised-equity pot: 1.000 × USDC, its own ledger.

Day by day

0.850.900.951.001.051.101.151.000 = holding Bitcoin1 Sep8 Sep15 Sep22 Sep29 Sep6 Oct13 Oct20 Oct27 Oct4 Novconstant_mix_70_30hashdex_momentumliq_reversalichimoku_switchgex_regimelive book
live book1.000 hold-BTCconstant_mix_70_30hashdex_momentumliq_reversalichimoku_switchgex_regime

One point per daily bar, valued at the bar close, live book and shadow books on the same marks. Multiples of hold-BTC. Shadow books shown here: the independent rules; every book.

Research ledger

34,160
pre-registered trials
55
batches
151,569
runs on record

Windows: post-ETF epoch, Jan 2024 to today: fit Jan 2024 to Aug 2025 (the only ranked window); holdout, the last 12 months (PASS/FAIL, never ranked); pre-ETF from 2020 and from 2015 as stress: can fail a line, never promote one. Every trial is pre-registered; the ledger is the denominator for the deflated Sharpe ratio.

Decision ledger

Every live proposal — approved or vetoed — scored against the asset/BTC ratio at fixed horizons. Too few rows to mean anything yet; shown anyway. Rows scored: 447.

verdicthorizon (d)nmean ratio return %
vetoed174-0.52
approved1420.03
vetoed3742.55
approved3420.00
vetoed7746.89
approved7416.28
vetoed3074-7.35
approved30262.41

Kitsunebi

491
entries
490
confirmed in Bitcoin
419
registered as written (not retro)

72 rows are retro (existed before the ledger; their proof dates the anchoring day, not the git date). First non-retro registration 2026-09-04. The ledger.